July 28, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cloudcraze | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Attack | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Payaso | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tio Chuy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musket Hunter | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donner Pass | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cats Valentine | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Red Jersey | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Diamond | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trophy Bridle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lavina | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Feisty Chi Chi | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chrome Attack | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Romantic Attack | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cash Me Ousside | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Glamala | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Furbein | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Diva Banker | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Templesis | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karate Hottie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Ice for That Burn | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wazz Dat | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Breckenridge | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ry’s a Flying | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canihaveitlikethat | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Recklessness | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charliecando | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tradin Up | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Ben | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fame Is Rough | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moreta | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Case Cracker | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meetmeforasmoke | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hide and Street | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Icon | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Cartelle | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Four O One K | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Have the Facts | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silent Fame | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Echoes of Laughter | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | The Remainder | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jeggyjeggy | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Steel | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mighty Might | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Intrysting | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Purr’s Along | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Touch of Disney | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revolt | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roarin Missile | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Greenhorn | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Proud | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Consultation | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Legacy | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Haney | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Franklin County | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Riv | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pablo Del Monte | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Commish | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongol Bull | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Point | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Ridge | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Welovecandy | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike Quiet | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bootleggin | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Mensch | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.