July 26, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Countenance | 0.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karabessa | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handle With Care | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G. T. Sonia | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Melody | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ask Contrition | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Pleasantly | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Driftwood | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mitzrayim | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kobe | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cold Hard Cash | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Assault Breaker | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | No Lime | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Mo Ready | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Microsecond | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Managing Risk | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Victory Built | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Carotari | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Topper T | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Missle Bomb | 1.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Dark N Cloudy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Thousand Percent | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shiny Copper Penny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Yes and Yes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | All Systems Go | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | I Can Do Anything | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon in May | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Beas | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Mischief | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viva Forever | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indy Union | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nonsensical | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Held Accountable | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ivy’s College Fund | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elizabeth Nicole | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moondance Joy | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riot Worthy | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildcat Belle | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malarkey | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz R Bella | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parlapiano | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zecha | 15.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Balon Rose | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Latest Version | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ocean Fire | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Flowers | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatdoesasharksay | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monhegan | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Belle | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweeping In | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Passive Investing | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mickey Diamond | 50.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Rosalie (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | It Was Considered | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Olive Kat | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Anne Dupree | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slimey | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Righteous Ruby | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dizzy | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Lassie | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom’s Queen | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alvernia | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | New York’s Finest | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fear | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mo Diddley | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Colonel Tom | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dowse’s Beach | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Banana Thief | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Outrageous Bet | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cloontia | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Robey’s Boy | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hushion | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steam Engine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Psychic Energy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ready to Escape | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Show Prince | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | The Caretaker | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Curlin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Rowayton | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Highest Honors | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Intrepid Heart | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Endorsed | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Looking At Bikinis | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cairo Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Direct Order | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grumps Little Tots | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mo Gotcha | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Adversary | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Champagne Chills | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golconda | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Da Berg | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moo Lah | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talespin | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Will’s Bay | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Mister Bobby | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Wonder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Vincent | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Prince Halo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Grand Canal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Paynter’s Prize | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ticked All Daboxes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wisecrack | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Later Cat | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.