July 26, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Istain Man | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Test the Water | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Itsthattime | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bobs Blues Man | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bad Beat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Final Final | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Champers | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Verified | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Peridot | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Chocolate | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaydetre | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chickatini | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Querelle | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Portando | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Young Hendrick | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Ay Em | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Dad | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal War Chant | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Jackson | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Westmont | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | General Interest | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Duranga | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C C the Bartender | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Road Test | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watheeqa | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love of Art (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gemagine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Flying to the Line | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodtingscominpink | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Incredibly Lucky | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Necklace | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nothing But Heat | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Full Court | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sidepocket Charger | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Si Mamacita | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ancona | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ebb and Flow | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alicia’s Pride | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spanish Channel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Y Not Sizzle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Super Bunny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blue Skye Jade | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Union Station | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caecilius | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hypersonic | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Magic | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indy Jones | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Storm | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mad At Money | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Dreamin’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Hunted | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brandothebartender | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smokey Image | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ultimate Bango | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Acclimate | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a View | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashleyluvssugar | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grecian Fire | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tule Fog | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Street Fighter | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hardboot | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Red Livy (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Todos Santos | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empress of Lov | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Topaz Time | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Party Hostess | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Ice | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mixed Emotions | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mama’s Kid | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forbidden Command | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lovely Linda | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bonita Annie | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blooming Hannah | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.