July 25, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hooked On a Hit | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gorgeouswitha G | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Expensive Lesson | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tulle | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Note to Selfie | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baudette | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Matchlock | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Channel Won | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westbound | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kit Check | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Syd | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Powerful Thirst | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Treaty | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heavens Whisper | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baydar | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ocean Express | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Boathouse View | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mostly Awesome | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sidepocket Bet | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chub’s Charmer | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alpha to Omega | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Afleet Sniper | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Throttle | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Mark | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sports Fan | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shelley’s Dream | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abstract Paynter | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Violent Fit | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dame Dangerous | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shell Locket | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Runner | 1.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fianna Hills | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Me Lily | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alleyes On Wilma | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real Gold | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Red White and Loud | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Me Up Brady | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Songster | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circuit Rider | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thisboy’sacowboy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovethatcause | 1.80 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torington | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scratch N Sniff | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gio Nasty One | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gold Maker | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stella Marie | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodnightsugar | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack’s Party Girl | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girls in Charge | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Golden Day | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game to Play | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Fury | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hilton Magic | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Basic Chance | 1.20 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imma Bling | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Record Year | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s So Zazzy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sure Fire Friend | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Xavier Davey | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holt County | 1.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naivasha Montana | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rooster Bay | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desanctus | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galaxy’s Wildcat | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Major Mingo | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cherokee Charlie | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blueskeeper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.