July 21, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bernotchie | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Song for Artie | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Newfie Express | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Optimystical | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Derek | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lassiter | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polydeuces | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Born to Be King | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Matteo | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bet Alpha | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dot’s Last Call | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fiery Bear | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Lou | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Cat Sam | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Transfer Pricing | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easter Gold | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American Guru | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Poet | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Tormenta | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Savage Battle | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiralty Pier | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Wally | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Get the News | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Man | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strike a Beat | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just Like Larry | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tracking Gold | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Opus North | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keen Artie | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Muchokova | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Barilko | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zoological | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Odds Get Even | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fantastic Breeze | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Tiger | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Dance | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orazio | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beyond Mybudget | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Showbiz Lady | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Banana Rama | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystery Day | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Sails | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sugati | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Double Crossed | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pluie d’Avril | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Brynlie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Caseyoudidn’tknow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tap It to Win | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scocciatore | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pleasecallmeback | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Different Days | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Blue | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Wil | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Revenge | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Muskoka Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silent Jet | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Analyzer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s Got It | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Courtly Manner | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coleyville | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leonard’s Bay | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish River | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ingordwetrust | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Royal North S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Sunday | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oleksandra (AUS) | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Veil | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Notion | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patton’s Girl | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Spell | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Medal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Misericordia (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frobisher Bay | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saints Marching In | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victor’s Way | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximum Perfection | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bitethebulletbro | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lillz Not Crying | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinlee’s Song | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chestermere | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bobby Bittman | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wolf Ridge | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Edition | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Break and Enter | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Denmark | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cerrado | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Our Uncle Drew | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harpy Eagle | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Countryside Drive | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Rocket Man | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Hambone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.