Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 21, 2019

July 21, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bernotchie 2.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 A Song for Artie 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 The Newfie Express 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Optimystical 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dancing Derek 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lassiter 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Polydeuces 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Born to Be King 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Big Matteo 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bet Alpha 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Dot’s Last Call 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Fiery Bear 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Uncle Lou 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Street Cat Sam 3.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Transfer Pricing 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Easter Gold 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Grimgrinnin’ Ghost 8.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 American Guru 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Silent Poet 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 El Tormenta 1.60 3.6 7-1
6 6 Savage Battle 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Admiralty Pier 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Call Me Wally 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Get the News 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Pioneer Man 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Strike a Beat 2.50 4.9 9-1
9 8 Just Like Larry 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Tracking Gold 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Opus North 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Keen Artie 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Torah’s Blessing 20.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Muchokova 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Barilko 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Zoological 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Odds Get Even 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fantastic Breeze 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Awesome Tiger 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Phantom Dance 3.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Orazio 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Beyond Mybudget 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Showbiz Lady 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Banana Rama 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mystery Day 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Red Sails 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Sugati 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Double Crossed 4.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Pluie d’Avril 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Sweet Brynlie 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Caseyoudidn’tknow 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Tap It to Win 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Scocciatore 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Pleasecallmeback 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Different Days 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ice Blue 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dixie Wil 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Perfect Revenge 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Muskoka Storm 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silent Jet 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Analyzer 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Who’s Got It 2.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Courtly Manner 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Coleyville 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Leonard’s Bay 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Spanish River 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Ingordwetrust 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Royal North S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Summer Sunday 1.60 2.4 5-1
3 3 Oleksandra (AUS) 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Veil 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Ruby Notion 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Patton’s Girl 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Magic Spell 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Double Medal 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Misericordia (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frobisher Bay 2.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Kaili’s Big Boy 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Saints Marching In 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Victor’s Way 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Maximum Perfection 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Bitethebulletbro 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Lillz Not Crying 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Kinlee’s Song 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Chestermere 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bobby Bittman 3.00 1.7 3-1
11 10 Wolf Ridge 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Spring Edition 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Break and Enter 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Denmark 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Cerrado 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Our Uncle Drew 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Harpy Eagle 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Countryside Drive 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Big Rocket Man 12.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Big Hambone 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.