July 21, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Completely Bonkers | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Animal Trick | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Cowboy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Modern Tale | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nauti Buoy | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Money Machine | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wigwam Summer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Tepuy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starship Apollo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Maletta | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Runner Runner | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stroll by Lea | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pricey Victory | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Paradise | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Makabim | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Commander’s Intent | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Viking Plunder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hello Juliet | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cory Gal | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liza Star | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nikee Kan | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nothins Free | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sarasota Star | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Accountant Q | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth As | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Marco Drive | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Morningstar | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Rolling Dude | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Star Seiler | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Erre Erre | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Northern | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tell Me a Story | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fafa | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | French Accent | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In R Defence | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Express Jet | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Fine Ride | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cherorama | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vina | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ballie’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwithjimmieb | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dillon’s Kitty | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daisy’s Storm | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Valentina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Maxixe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cocktail Skirt | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Princess | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maddy’s Salsa | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elizabeth’s Vow | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rate of Return | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gia Lia Joe | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extra Salsa | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Courageous Change | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Teach Me Tonight | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Along the Trail | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Addilyn | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dienda | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waterloo Sunset | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hartling | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dinner At Five | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mystic Sparkle | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blessed Beast | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gravel Gertie | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Hot Drama | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | She Fled the Scene | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gilda F. | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Native Angel | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marynmike | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tizzire | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Twirling Star | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honolua Bay | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big Angel | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Minutia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bit Coin Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Blossom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Souper Catch | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Tea | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winking At Thedude | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Geonosis | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morocco | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Front | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby I’m Perfect | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sudden Light | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tennessee Cotton | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Funny Biz | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapizar Girl | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tweety Kitten | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sarasota Girl | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Goodbitofbizness | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vuyelwa | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inca Princess | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Annie | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Koa Kani | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thirstyforamiracle | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Girl Bill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boastful Contessa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.