July 20, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hello Beautiful | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jenn’s the Boss | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bernadette the Jet | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Aurora | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giggling | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Three Sided Story | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secure Connection | 6.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Duniverse | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bell the Cat | 15.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Gypsy Girl | 12.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gifted Heart | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guilty | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bricktop | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Street | 2.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sight of Heaven | 3.50 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boat Over the Hill | 8.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mia Gift | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Red | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friesing Waters | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carson City Coin | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mabel’s Fable | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play Charades | 8.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ohhowilovetheraces | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Miss Jones | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clover Bottom | 6.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nun | 15.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hard Fought | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gearhead | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Posterity | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Game | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back to Back | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beltway Bob | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makes Mo Cents | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Crusader | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chateau de Vizille | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Brix | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Old Time Revival | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tybalt | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scrap Copper | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Turner Time | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nottoway | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threes Over Deuces | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parade of Nations | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cerulean Springs | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jefazo | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maranatha | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thatwouldbegrand | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Follow the Dog | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonic Boom E Jet | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dixie Drawl | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | To Blave | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bo Vuk | 6.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shortlist | 5.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tom Hagen | 15.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Huyana | 20.00 | 19.3 | 37-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nightmare | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Congrats Graduate | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Fix | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flirtation Walk | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | That’sthewaytodoit | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Squibnocket | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Private Drama | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Killmain | 4.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Barbsgray Lion | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Lantern | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Measured | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Southside Warrior | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Front Line Paige | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berliner | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baltic Art (GER) | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Incorporate | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Brahms | 3.50 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 10.00 | 16.7 | 32-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Two a T | 10.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 8.00 | 17.3 | 33-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Own Lane | 20.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jumping Michelle | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My T Talk | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Two Three Go | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Hopes | 4.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Una Buena Mamacita | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Skylark | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.