July 19, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Funny Questions | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Revolt | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Candy My Boy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Irish Proud | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rich E Z | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Not Chopped Liver | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Baltar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Miss Izzy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Beauty | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | U R My Sunshine | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Karate Hottie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Victory Rose | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shes Just Capital | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Featherstone | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Wazz Dat | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Almafuerte | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lady Warrior | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Daneira | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Away She Glows | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wayaway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Catherine Eugenia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Peppermint Ice | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Uknowiaintlying | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kingsbury Dream | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Old Fort | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Unite the Masses | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kaliningrad | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tornado Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Two Emmys | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tommytoshort | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cloudcraze | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Ride | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cats Valentine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sequins Storm | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tio Chuy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Payaso | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donner Pass | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trombone Easton | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Back Page Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Straight Up Smarty | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Room to Finish | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Trophy Doll (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Appealing Way | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tasseography | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cholla | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bella Bella | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | True Loyalty | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ioya Again | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Juan Pablo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charlie’sarchangel | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Mystery | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Ludington | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dollar Blue | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vincitore | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | What a Hoot | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Treasure Trove | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rough Justice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Defender | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rustic Rick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bonita Bay | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nurse Sadie | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Wonder Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Waters | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Del Mar Babe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mo Buckets | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hero of Gold | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flower House | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashley’s New Shoes | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Di | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality too Spare | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.