July 18, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Concordia’s Way | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Bond | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard of Odds | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Da Winner Is | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | World View | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Is Everybody Happy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Accolade | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Double Luck | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arnina | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dangerus Hearted | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Csabawaba | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brushed by Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Joe Specs | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zafiro Azul | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Giumarello | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miss Aja Brown | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Prayer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Likeagirl | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meddybemps | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nevisian Spirit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Fun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Digital Diva | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Self Start | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Shoe Loves Shoe | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Roller | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhettbutler | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Papacho | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emmett’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gringo Star | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Nellysford | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shanghai Bonnie | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Live Large | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Heather Hills | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Polarization | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Gin N Spice | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Vampish | 10.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fender Baby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Precocious Peach | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Emo | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shatter Me | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kabikeka | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Javoncia | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Susi Sole | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Shanna’s Gray | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Truly Red | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hufflepuff | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | Quality Step | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Glad Moon (GER) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Hills Pond | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 4 | Panama Papers | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Sadler Bay | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Stormy Forecast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bulland | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dilutem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Speights | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fountainstreetkid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Get a Valentine | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Super | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Matter of Factor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tisdale | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C C’s Warrior | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Witchy’s Laststand | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle Away | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.