July 15, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Slewys Chosen One | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Graceful Request | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Lost Scroll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Holly’s Lady | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Country Miss | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cold Hearted Cat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dorothy M | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Say Yes Di Di | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Suiko | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A Toast to Kay | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mistiz | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icy Lady | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Cross | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sterling Furiosa | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Nekia | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sour Ball | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hey Big Guy | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Follow the Signs | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | King Tide | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Friend Linus | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tom’s Music | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Poppy’s Two Step | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Do With Pride | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Galaxy Express | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legacy’s Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | C Em Smile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Now We Are Free | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Road | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | To the Stars | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Leo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hirschbein | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Tom Terrific | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Dig In | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wild Drive | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Not Necessarily | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stunning Baby | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cairo Holiday | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Purrs Well | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Purrs Again | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Top Mandate | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Templemore | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mead Avenue | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Too Much Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Itsknownasthebern | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | For the Road | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lippi Lorenzo | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | You’ll Like It | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Pep Talking | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Tapitontheside | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Quick Man | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Lay It On | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Backyard Fun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Single Mission | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vindicta | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ivanya | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Sniveling | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Whim | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Myrtle | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tuff Duff | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunni Blaze | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supreme Appeal | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mrmistakenidentity | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confusion | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light Affair | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.