July 14, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trebek | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perlarana | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butilovesyababe | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tishina | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Silver | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrius | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gottoknowrightnow | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Station Rock | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandretti | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bay of Rum | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hedeman | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miriam’s Sky | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lets Dance Some Mo | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Fever | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drink in My Hand | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Solution | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gator Spy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Virga | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arthur’s Pass | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Miami | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Courting a Kiss | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Now We Are Nine | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | White Wedding | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In Memory of Floyd | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seal Team Two | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sunspear | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fahrenheit | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conquer Him | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Force | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Show Me Your Spots | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Copinsay | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Tikal | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Keon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unsurpassable | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Meet Cute | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King Causeway | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Captain Vinnie | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muskoka Son | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Silencer | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Hot | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Massey Hall | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piven | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheek to Cheek | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Western Trouble | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Town Cruise | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Handsome | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Get the Facts | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In a Twist | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Camp Nardo | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Two | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Western Ghost | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Victor’s Dynasty | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Argentium | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marcus | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legal Gump | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Vigil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pink Lloyd | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marten Lake | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sable Island | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Circle of Friends | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie’s Gamble | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wyatt’s Town | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Butler’s Pick | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | San Nicola Thunder | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brass Compass | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shakhimat | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Boy | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Express | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boreal Spirit | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Heydon’s Case | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Leo From Heaven | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Olympic Runner | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Waldorf | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Salieri | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Young Lord | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Stormfuhr | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bitethebulletbro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Aye Aye Captain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | First Crusader | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Metadata | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poquito Bandito | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Victor’s Destiny | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Hard Worker | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bee Keeper | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lothbrook | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Apollo Benfica | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Soul n’ Spirit | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kyslios’s Justice | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Darren’s Fortune | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cepelinas | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Allium | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Adidas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Our Zuma | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.