July 14, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Skip’s Song | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’sagraciouslady | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ryrysweetie | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holdthatlove | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongol Call | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edgy Redhead | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Goodwillambassador | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spa Shackalacka | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mesa Sky | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Regalistic | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Theboyfromjersey | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joan’s Delight | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Family Code | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Put Sarah On | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Florida Bird | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wait N C Spring | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ally Song | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chance of Frost | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Cause | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gilded | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Running Alex’sband | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chacha Real Smooth | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Big Dill | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polly’s Brother | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Off Again On Again | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Wild Ride | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flight Boss | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Highline | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Erratic Behavior | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Do It | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blondies Mine | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daahers Sugaar | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Some Koppy’s | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Music | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elizabeth Rules | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Dancerella | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Ellie’s Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Game Day Decision | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Affluent Gentleman | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clever Boy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Police Chief | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | High Priority | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | R V T Thunder Road | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Throttle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indian Gem | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wise Eyes | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ornamental Iron | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dorothe Marie | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Natchez Pass | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghosted | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Go Places | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoke Out | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Third Dimension | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Taylor’s Prince | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Small Town Big Man | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Agent Gibbs | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Northern Big Iron | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Revelation Divine | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leroy Be Thy Name | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.