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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 13, 2019

July 13, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 R Sweet Exchange 1.80 3.3 6-1
5 3 Pattin for a Dance 6.00 3.3 6-1
6B 4 Bearsatlanticmist 3.50 3.3 6-1
8A 6 Dancing Cool 2.50 6.3 12-1
3A 1 Given Achance 2.50 8 15-1
7B 5 Scoreearlyandoften 3.50 8 15-1
1 1 Cowgirl Chick 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Earned the Shot 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Shifra Magician 8.00 3 6-1
2 1 Lovely Sunset 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 4 She’s Right Again 3.00 3.3 6-1
3A 2 Checkbouncin Billy 2.00 4.7 9-1
9 5 Bella Pierina 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Wicked Fun 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lady Terp 10.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Princess Palomar 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 All Good Times 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scoreswhenhewants 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Zipman 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 4 The Mo U No 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Hardredcandy 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Veneer of Charm (IRE) 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Good as Money 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 The Stifler 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Smithwick’s Spice 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Dashing Beauty S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ms Locust Point 1.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Bronx Beauty 1.20 3.3 6-1
1 1 Le Weekend 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Last True Love 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Yorkiepoo Princess 4.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Just A Kiss S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Monte Crista 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 Lift Up 2.50 3.4 6-1
9 7 Capla Temptress (IRE) 1.60 3.5 7-1
7 5 Drop Dead Red 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 2 Quick Witted 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 4 Good Roll 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Unbridled Escape 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Goiaba 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dynatail 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Hockessin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Altissimo 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 No Dozing 1.60 2.4 5-1
4 3 Always Sunshine 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Arthur’s Hope 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Colonel Sharp 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Glasgow S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Parlor 1.50 2.9 5-1
7 5 O Dionysus 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 2 Completed Pass 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Abiding Star 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 6 Square Shooter 15.00 4.6 9-1
10 8 Celebration (GB) 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 3 Paret (AUS) 10.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 No Bull Addiction 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Fact of War 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ballivor 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Just Howard 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delaware H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Elate 1.40 2.7 5-1
3 3 Escape Clause 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Blue Prize (ARG) 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Gotham Gala 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Promise of Spring 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Another Broad 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Goodonehoney 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Queen Nekia 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Vente to Go 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bob Magness Memorial Arabian Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 RB TEXAS HOLD EM 1.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 BIG ZELL 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 UPTOWN CRUISEDIRECTOR 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 RISKY TIDE 10.00 5.4 10-1
2A 2 DANCE WITH ME BW 1.40 7 13-1
6A 6 RB RICH LYKE ME 1.40 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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