July 11, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Night Code | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irishtown | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tomcat Black | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Quantico Kid | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fishman | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foney | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyscanner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Angelinas Star | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joyful Noise | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Di | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glotonasa | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weekends for Work | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginger in Disguise | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | English Heiress | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sister’s Keeper | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Skiff | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surplus Gold | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tempted by Tito’s | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Idea | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Fight | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kitty Zip | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Story | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Guided | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rapid Dan | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Burner | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joseph | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Abundance | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daily News | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aktabantay (GB) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grandiflora | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whenthedovescry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lime House Louie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Graze of Glory | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Press Release | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Subdued | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Matters | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coffee Please | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of Aponi | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Free | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Belial | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Something Magical | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irony of Reality | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunrisebernsteini | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who U Gonna Call | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justa Scoch | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comfy and Cozy | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ortinola | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hip Hop | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | End Result | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reflected | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glittering Judy | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misty On Pointe | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tobago | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Eileen | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sexyama | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Orbiting the Moon | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Princess | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queens Or Better | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hainted | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Lily Rose | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inflight | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keepupthemessage | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Rosie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.