Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 11, 2019

July 11, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Night Code 1.60 2 4-1
4 4 Irishtown 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Tomcat Black 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 The Quantico Kid 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Fishman 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Foney 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Skyscanner 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Angelinas Star 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Joyful Noise 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Di 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Glotonasa 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Weekends for Work 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Ginger in Disguise 5.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 English Heiress 4.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 My Sister’s Keeper 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Little Skiff 2.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Surplus Gold 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Tempted by Tito’s 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Epic Idea 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Don’t Fight 5.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Kitty Zip 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Sea Story 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Miss Guided 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rapid Dan 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Triple Burner 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Joseph 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 More Abundance 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Daily News 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Aktabantay (GB) 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Grandiflora 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Whenthedovescry 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lime House Louie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Graze of Glory 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Press Release 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Subdued 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Quality Matters 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Coffee Please 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Son of Aponi 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Always Free 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Belial 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Something Magical 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Irony of Reality 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Sunrisebernsteini 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Who U Gonna Call 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Justa Scoch 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Comfy and Cozy 4.50 6.9 13-1
6 6 Ortinola 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hip Hop 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 End Result 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Reflected 3.50 4 7-1
7 7 Glittering Judy 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Misty On Pointe 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Tobago 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Ms Eileen 30.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Sexyama 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Orbiting the Moon 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Smokin Princess 1.80 3.3 6-1
7 7 Queens Or Better 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Hainted 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 My Lily Rose 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Inflight 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Keepupthemessage 3.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Princess Rosie 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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