July 11, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Marcelino | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Ron | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luckytobeinamerica | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bullgrats | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Licorice | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Levi | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malio’s | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Sea | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Robin’sblinddeal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Town Jak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Plato | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fortlite | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rebelde | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Last Jet Out | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chads Choice | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Valiant Virtue | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Young Raymond | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fayez | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gran Letizia | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Christina | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awsum Roar | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Greatness | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rachel’s Smokin | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Salsalida | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowtown Jane | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Magic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yes Its Factual | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mossy Chick | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victim | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fast Point | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aurora Nation | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deesse | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mi Tia Regis | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Franciscan | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaufy Futures | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Blood | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Gipper | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Squeeze | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Saman | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tenacity Zip | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Cardinal | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Independence | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gran Malbec | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Small Fortune | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Delta Bluesman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Harryhee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Sebastiana | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncommon Factor | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Valley Girl | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Girl Gone Astray | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Catquick | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ourhandsomegal | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Charlieanna | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arbolada | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V K Legacy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Sunset | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of the Dudes | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Donnameup | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cairo Mama | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Luvy | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsherluckyday | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cassidy’s Smile | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bienville Street | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Henny’s Treasure | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raki | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hotty Toddy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Odyssey | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tequila Sheila | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Christmas Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Untrue | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nothins Free | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Isle | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Upsy Daisy Do | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Splendor | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixieland Humor | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nan’s Plan | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lulaby of Broadway | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancingwithjimmieb | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Strike Play | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bodie Cody | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Silver Beach | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Dewey | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr Stark | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eric the Salesman | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ace Dinero | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Traffic Express | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Flashtour | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mexican Lucky | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Igotsunshine | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coniston | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.