Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 11, 2019

July 11, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Marcelino 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Captain Ron 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Luckytobeinamerica 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bullgrats 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Twisted Licorice 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Shanghai Levi 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Malio’s 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Southern Sea 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Robin’sblinddeal 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Town Jak 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Plato 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Fortlite 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 Rebelde 1.80 3.9 7-1
8 7 Last Jet Out 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Chads Choice 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Valiant Virtue 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Young Raymond 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Fayez 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gran Letizia 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Little Christina 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Awsum Roar 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Lady Greatness 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Rachel’s Smokin 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Salsalida 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Cowtown Jane 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Blue Magic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yes Its Factual 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Mossy Chick 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Victim 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Fast Point 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Aurora Nation 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Deesse 10.00 6.1 11-1
7 6 Mi Tia Regis 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Franciscan 30.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Kaufy Futures 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiger Blood 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 The Gipper 4.50 3 6-1
7 6 Royal Squeeze 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Gran Saman 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Tenacity Zip 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 I’m Cardinal 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Our Independence 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gran Malbec 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Small Fortune 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Delta Bluesman 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Harryhee 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Sebastiana 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Uncommon Factor 3.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Valley Girl 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Girl Gone Astray 15.00 6.2 12-1
13 11 Catquick 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Ourhandsomegal 20.00 6.6 12-1
12 10 Charlieanna 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Arbolada 3.50 6.8 13-1
1 1 V K Legacy 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Trinni Sunset 15.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Queen of the Dudes 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Donnameup 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cairo Mama 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lovely Luvy 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Itsherluckyday 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Cassidy’s Smile 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bienville Street 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Henny’s Treasure 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Raki 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Hotty Toddy 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Reagan’s Odyssey 50.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Tequila Sheila 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Christmas Magic 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Untrue 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Nothins Free 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Velvet Isle 3.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Upsy Daisy Do 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Golden Splendor 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Dixieland Humor 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Nan’s Plan 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lulaby of Broadway 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Dancingwithjimmieb 6.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Strike Play 3.50 3.1 6-1
11 10 Bodie Cody 8.00 3.9 7-1
12 11 Silver Beach 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Mr Dewey 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Mr Stark 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Eric the Salesman 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Ace Dinero 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 2 Traffic Express 50.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 Flashtour 30.00 7.5 14-1
2 1 Mexican Lucky 50.00 8.5 16-1
8 7 Igotsunshine 30.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Coniston 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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