July 10, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sportscaster | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of the Nile | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Romance | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gizmo Jones | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat Zapper | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vilma | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thunder Point | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Talks | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chris’ Brew | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Keep Marching | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Going | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kilkenny Prospect | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Summer Retreat | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bokermin | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cause of Action | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Your Word | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Humbug | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Street | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Constantino | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ethanol | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slip Kid | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marten River | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Slew | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distinct Passion | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silent Consort | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verradassah | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blezniatka | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Glib Marylin | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Excommunicate | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Entropy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courtly Diva | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Rapiduno | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triple Sevens | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khawlah | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugati | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Monsoon Rain | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Bella | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Phil’s Glory | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bel Tempo | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unlimited Resource | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Articulate | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | In View | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macho T | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alicia’s Kid | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strategic Vision | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Vienna | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pool Playa | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Whisper | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jezebel Jones | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victoria Gardens | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Danielle | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simply Mysterious | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Munnings Beach | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Horizon | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Trust | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jacks Escarpment | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hitters Park | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Brother | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Rush | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nashville Knight | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hey Howie | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Leo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gasconade | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Forester | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Goldtown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Moon Over Victoria | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.