July 7, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Love | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harrovian | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excavation | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nap Lajoie | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kennedie Sky | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Krsto Skye | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky’s Show | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best Two Minutes | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Market Sentiment | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Advantageous | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Erebuni | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winsinfashion | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coilette | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tengs Rhythm | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart of the Nile | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Pleasure | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Held | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taylor’s Addiction | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atina (ARG) | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Qahira | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stealthediamonds | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Screening | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jaccat | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Bubbles | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kidmon | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fortune of War (GB) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taste’s Legend | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Topgallant | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polity | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Many Treats | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Justin’s Quest | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Reserve | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Class | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | C Falls | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mica Bay | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Potantico | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turn the Switch | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Camp | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rocko’s Wheel | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Good | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Start a Runnin | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | California Journey | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Original Intent | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meistermind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Imagineiamfastest | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temple Knights | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Blue Grass | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Class | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | San Giorgio | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raw Diamond | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Cat Canyon | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doheny Beach | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sky Glory | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Checks in the Mail | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.