Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 7, 2019

July 7, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Amanjena 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 4 Impazible Odds 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 River Knight 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 City Traveler 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Scrutinize 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Time Expired 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Fotis 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Mango M 2.50 2.6 5-1
1A 1 Shiraz 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 6 Megacity 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Aveenu Malcainu 4.00 3.9 7-1
5A 4 Much Trouble 3.00 4 8-1
9 7 Morning Breez 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Halstaat 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Crea’s Bklyn Law 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Walkoff 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Storm Prophet 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 True Gold 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Quiet Out East 1.40 2.9 5-1
3 3 Deputy Flag 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 The Joke’s On You 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Wisecrack 50.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Dutchmen Forever 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Country Code 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Moondance Joy 1.20 2.3 4-1
3 2 Wildcat Belle 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Zecha 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 6 Karen’s Gem 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Princess Mikayah 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Ola Gatita 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Blissful Breeze 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Memories Eternal 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Star of the East 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Crescent Lady 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lough Na Mona 5.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Barton Hall 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Freddymo Factor 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Two Cent Tootsie 10.00 6 11-1
8 7 Sandra’s Mine 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 6 Angels and Us 30.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Lady Macho 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wild One Forever 1.60 2.6 5-1
9A 6 Azzedine (FR) 12.00 3 6-1
6 4 Don Ciccio 30.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bridgetothefuture 30.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Gratto Swing 30.00 4.4 8-1
10 7 Mystic Times 3.00 5 9-1
7A 5 Big Wonder 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Grandmas Favorite 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Moonbounce 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Blue Gem 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fast Getaway 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Wicked Freud 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Outrageous Bet 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Robey’s Boy 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 We Should Talk 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 The J Y 3.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Ghost Giant 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Blame the Thief 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Big Gemmy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – State Dinner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prince Lucky 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Backyard Heaven 1.80 2.4 4-1
3 3 Candygram 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Sunny Ridge 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Multiplier 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Just Whistle 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 La Chancla 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 4 My Bronx Tail 8.00 3.2 6-1
2A 2 My Happy Place 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Remembering Bobbie 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Restructure 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Mimi and Charley 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Liza Jambalaya 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 8 Bossy Bride 10.00 5 9-1
3A 3 Hunting Season 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Kelleycanrun 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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