July 7, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Amanjena | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impazible Odds | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Knight | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | City Traveler | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scrutinize | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time Expired | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fotis | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Mango M | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Shiraz | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Megacity | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aveenu Malcainu | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Much Trouble | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Morning Breez | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halstaat | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Walkoff | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Storm Prophet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | True Gold | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Out East | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deputy Flag | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Joke’s On You | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wisecrack | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dutchmen Forever | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Country Code | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Moondance Joy | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wildcat Belle | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zecha | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Karen’s Gem | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Princess Mikayah | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ola Gatita | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blissful Breeze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Memories Eternal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star of the East | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crescent Lady | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lough Na Mona | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Barton Hall | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freddymo Factor | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Two Cent Tootsie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sandra’s Mine | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Angels and Us | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Macho | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild One Forever | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9A | 6 | Azzedine (FR) | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Don Ciccio | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridgetothefuture | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gratto Swing | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mystic Times | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Big Wonder | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandmas Favorite | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Moonbounce | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Blue Gem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fast Getaway | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wicked Freud | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Outrageous Bet | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robey’s Boy | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | We Should Talk | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The J Y | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Giant | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Thief | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Gemmy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – State Dinner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince Lucky | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backyard Heaven | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candygram | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunny Ridge | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Multiplier | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Whistle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | La Chancla | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | My Bronx Tail | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | My Happy Place | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remembering Bobbie | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Restructure | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mimi and Charley | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Liza Jambalaya | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bossy Bride | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Hunting Season | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kelleycanrun | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.