July 6, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yum Yum | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovin Spoon Phil | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sam’s Cross | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Bliss | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tallievision | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Honeypotts | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ginger Candy | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amalfi Coast | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneerof New York | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherubic | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Proud | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Mesa | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samarian | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sailing By | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truly Honoured | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Planet | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Fairy | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Sparkle | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Brie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Vision | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Executive Sight | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dun Drum | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candy Crushem | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Laser | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Extreme | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Canmore | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Letthebighossroll | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Titochip | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Seattle Treasure | 5.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pleasant Forest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Unbounded Spirit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wake Up Maggie | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Starlet | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glistening Waters | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savvy’s Sister | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Diamondsinhereyes | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Screen | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold the Applause | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossy Gamble | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tuscan Damsel | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gizmo Flash | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Momammy | 8.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Trappeze Artist | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wandofuhr | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Corfu | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alacritous | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Where’s Anthony | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Love to Singh | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Robusto | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap the Mojo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prized Connection | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Liaison | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desdemona | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dreamin On a Cloud | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Biddy Early | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Judith Can | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mary of Scotts | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beau’s Beauty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – My Dear S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fast Scene | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Gem | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reiterate | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marva | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nite Brite | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justleaveitalone | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayerly Seen | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Vision | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Good Witch | 10.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Capoeira | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Post to Post | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alternative View | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Court Return | 2.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fine Lady | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calais Cat | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vinyasa | 10.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mc Culley | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Charm | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Travolta | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jail Time | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chestermere | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danny’s Rush | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Transfer Pricing | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rebellion’s Dream | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Secret Masquerade | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Never Sober | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snippy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Riot | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carolina Grace | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caspian Jewel | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Asha Ironborn | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Oxbow | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Via Ann | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Londonderry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.