July 6, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Holds Barred | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Station | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drc All Inclusive | 1.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Googleado (ARG) | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choir Director | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Attraction | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Last Bad Habit | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conspicuous Box | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rudy’s Boy | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Link | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goloso | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pop Life | 1.60 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wasabi Moon | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Joe Copper | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matchlock | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kauai | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holt County | 1.80 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minecraft Maniac | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itsallaboutyou | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hesabully | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Port Aggregate | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iowa Native | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inge | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City All Star | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Intimidating | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Domikate | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Hearted Factor | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blueskeeper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Hawkeyes H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mywomanfromtokyo | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shimmering Dream | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sister Madi | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zella Rose | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mizz Fabulous | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bye Love Gotta Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Cyclones H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Han Sense | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tin Badge | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back the Blue | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Fine Dream | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shweet Persuasion | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Net Gain | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Saylorville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Tariff | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maybe Wicked | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Ponchatrain | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Upset Brewing | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salt Bae | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shabang Baby | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adventurous Lady | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Quick Quick | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Greeley | 10.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonlit Garden | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Power | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Area | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer’s Indy | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sydney Freeman | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baydar | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Irma | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mylady Curlin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boathouse View | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Racey Reecey | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ocean Express | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Flyer | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unprovoked | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adari | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queans Altar | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Serious I Candy | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | In the Gap | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kaluga Bob | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red White and Loud | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Cha Now Y’all | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woke Up Wild | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ship Boss | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Card Playoff | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximum Volume | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.