Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 6, 2019

July 6, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Money Come 2.00 4.3 8-1
9 7 Thorpe d’Oro 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Mister Storm 2.50 5 9-1
6 5 Broadcast Time 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Hollywood Overdogs 4.50 5.7 11-1
5 4 Happy Hat 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Our Boss 30.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Colosal 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Million Heir 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Arrivederla 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fafa 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Dubull 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Venezuelan Warrior 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Stone Heart 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Get Em Up Scout 3.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 Organic Jenny 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Joe Cain 30.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Mass Approval 30.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Alperes 1.40 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sheldor 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 My Interest 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Coyote Quick Step 99.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Crossband 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Rawlins 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 7 Triple Serious 50.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Maturin 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Little Two 99.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Krammy Boy 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Smooth As 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Homedrill 3.00 7 13-1
5 5 El Mayito 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Cape Marco Drive 2.50 7.7 14-1
1 1 Aghost to the Post 4.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Nightstrings 12.00 8 15-1
7 7 Trinni Juice 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Notorious Nick 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Souper Jaguar 2.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tropicat 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Youshouldbesolucky 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Lahinch 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Nauti Buoy 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Can’ttakeitwithyou 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Real Estate Mogul 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 Frenchmen Street 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gran Casique 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Iberico 0.80 4.2 8-1
5 4 All D’ Hype 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Mr Nappy 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Dream d’Oro 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Congrats That 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Gran Champagne 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Wild Fox 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Not Surprising S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Art G Is Back 1.40 4.2 8-1
5 5 Forever Mo 4.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Vow Me Now 1.80 5.5 10-1
4 4 Scraps 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Sovereign Warrior 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Starship Aramis 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Stirling Drive 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rain 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Two Sixty 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Espiritu de Luna 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Itsenough 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Mimina’s Team 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Addilyn 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Royal Mistress 15.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Fujairah 15.00 11.9 23-1
9 9 Emperor’s Song 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mystic Comin Home 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mandamus 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kimura 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Martha Washington S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vow to Recover 1.60 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kelsey’s Cross 2.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 Red Rounder 3.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Bello Porte 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 La Australiana 10.00 8 15-1
7 7 Jolie Bay 20.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Indicia 15.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Zarina 15.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Salsa Jack 1.80 4.1 8-1
7 7 Apartfromthecrowd 2.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Nominal Dollars 3.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 Il Faraone 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Whistle Me Home 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Dreamy Martini 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Gotsomemojo 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Takedown 30.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Royalston 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Completely Bonkers 6.00 3.4 6-1
11 10 Alien Invasion 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Billy Big (IRE) 3.50 5.9 11-1
7 6 Rompin Reid 4.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Diamond Mint 10.00 6 11-1
9 8 Kinghood 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Abbot 20.00 7.7 14-1
8 7 Big Money Machine 4.50 7.9 15-1
3 3 At the Ready 10.00 8.8 17-1
10 9 Kid Mac Cool 20.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Grandpa Knows Best 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Manolete 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Scam 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Downrange 3.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Avast Matey 4.50 6.4 12-1
7 7 Tempter 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Cool Mover 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 One Fine Ride 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Chirping 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Express Jet 50.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Awesome Thought 15.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Blind Ruckus 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Strong Composition 30.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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