Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 5, 2019

July 5, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crimson Zip 1.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Pickens 2.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Mafia Don 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Rarerare 6.00 8 15-1
4 4 Recorder 8.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 J P Warrior 12.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Naivasha Montana 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ms. D’s Last Storm 0.80 6.9 13-1
4 4 Major Mingo 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Academy Bay 8.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Zimmerman 5.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Logan’s Reward 10.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Serengeti 1.60 2.9 5-1
5 3 Smart Spree 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Guska Mon Shoes 1.80 5.2 10-1
3 3 Curlinate 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ault 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Powerful Thirst 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Little Bones 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Wrinkled Rose 2.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Clear Creedence 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Violent Fit 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Frugal Betty 20.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Rocket First 6.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 De Cats a Cougar 15.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Iowa Sprint H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 D’ Rapper 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Share the Upside 2.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Glory Stars 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Do Share 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 The Tabulator 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cummings 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Seven Trumpets 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Iowa Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ulele 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Beach Getaway 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Taylor’s Spirit 5.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Sold It 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Lady Apple 1.60 6.6 12-1
7 7 Scatrattleandroll 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Sweet Diane 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Top Line Growth 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Winning Number 12.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Mr Money Bags 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Shang 8.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Fluminense 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 And Seek 12.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Night Ops 4.50 7.8 15-1
3 3 Miltontown 20.00 9 17-1
12 12 Thetrashmanscoming 20.00 12.3 23-1
2 2 Proverb 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Visitant 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Dazzling Truths 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Prairie Meadows Cornhusker H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Exclamation Point 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Dark Vader 5.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Popularity 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Remembering Rita 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Sir Anthony 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Exulting 5.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Retirement Fund 8.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Chris and Dave 10.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Hence 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Pinson 15.00 10.5 20-1
2 2 Two Thirty Five 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mojovation 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sky Defence 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Goodwillambassador 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Record Year 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sure Fire Friend 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Holding Fast 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Keesawah 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Catale Storm 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Daahers Bully 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Lovethatcause 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Torington 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Songster 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Future Abundance 2.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Scratch N Sniff 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Equiphobia 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Circuit Rider 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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