July 5, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bandit | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calder Vale | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afternoon Heat | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Gary | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L’Engineer | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Here I Go Indy | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fishel | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jump the Tracks | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Admiral | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lead Star | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point Guard | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whirling | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fracas | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blew by You | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chay Up and Away | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Stich | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | The Longest Night | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oil Can Knight | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love and Hold | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General McCarthy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sharpshootingeorge | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Pursuit | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blueberry Princess | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Norwegian | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Topaz Time | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reinahermosa | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sippin’ Sweet Tea | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Duranga | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Todos Santos | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angels N Devildogs | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empress of Lov | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Livy (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sturdy One | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Darpa | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hansen Tale Blues | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tengs Wonder | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Aleda Lutz | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thanks | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laker Jet | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Magnificent Q T | 4.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mongolian Midnight | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tip Tap Time | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lala Fleur | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.