July 5, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bt Patriot | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aintnosugar Inmytank | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reba Is Crowded | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | House Pool | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miwayornoway | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajunater | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Bag | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Got Game | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jjj Runaway Cartel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Rwd Worth the Weight | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Panther On the Beach | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoop | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dyslexic | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Neesie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cc Fancy Girl | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr Jesse James | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silence Ta Dash | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marks Women Will | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rf Sey What | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | We Gota Jewel | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jesse Desire | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Dashing Coors | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashin Moehrig | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Dance Pilot | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roseinante | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Velvets Moonflash | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Lady Rocks | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Bar Cartel | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Missy Polly Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eye N Capo | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stone Cold Leader | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Politics Here | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Sonic Patriot | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vallerro | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dm La Jolla | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fast N Famous Eagle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sea Yacht Dash | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brexit | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bjs Joyful Fantasy | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty in Prada | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jla Quick Draw McCoy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Watch My Booty | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rios Dashing Patty | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alas Caliente | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Express Lane Snap | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hez Sizzling | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chasin de Stars | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gbh Train | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynah 123 | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mapalo Special | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes a Blue Runaway | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Having Cash | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | P Y Ceeya | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Teller | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Struttin Free | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jla Grand Baby Shake | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tf Iopening Runaway | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Makin It With Brooks | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Im Fast | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ra Zoom Special | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fjr Anudder Butter | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Makennas Fire | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razzgonabegoni | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ttt Lucero Blanco | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go Little Vick Cash | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Igotyourfast | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Piloto Habit | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kb Cool Coronas | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sista Sara | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buckk Wheatt | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jam N Jac | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jla Live Action | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rf Sheza Fast Duck | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kingslayer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Ojo | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Nine Go | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Black 214 | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buy Jordina | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Apollitical B Strong | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jls Shezafastwagon | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Out of the Blu | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zinsera | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Firsttrain G | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Schramm | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Sippin Perry | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carrera Gt | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Prize | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolls Regal Doc | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Eyed Cartel | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brileys Magic | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brontide | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eyewantbux | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E Z Fourtune | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jus to Kool | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jetsetting Cartel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Coronaoro | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corona Carmelita | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tk Zoomaway | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eye Am Sizzlin | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chicks One Rose | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Dashin Perry | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Favorite Blue | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jess a Boy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atimely Touch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Swampi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dm La Jolla | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gp Won Special Cooki | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Worldwide | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jw Losin Control | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Dream At a Time | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Piloto Man | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream of a Symphony | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gbh Fast Wave | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toast This Mvp | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rl Quick Jet | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shonuff Mvp | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.