Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 4, 2019

July 4, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Skip’s Song 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Two Step Dancer 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 My Holiday 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Essie’s Reward 2.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Anditsafact 3.50 7.6 14-1
5 5 Pricilla Kay 10.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stella Marie 1.40 4 8-1
4 4 Gold Maker 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Vision’s Reward 2.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Girls in Charge 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 My Golden Day 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Sister Lisa 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fabulous Girl 3.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Star Hunter 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Aubrey 3.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Icy Dawn 4.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 Undivided 2.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Remarkable Charm 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Elektracutioner 4.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Ize Discreet Rose 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Silver’s Swan Song 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 3 Taylor’s Beauty 8.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Plum Gorgeous 1.80 7.1 13-1
7 5 Classy and Fast 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 2 Elusive Dream 20.00 10.8 20-1
2 2 Aunt Gayle 99.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jean’s Beauty 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wise Old Guy 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Cooper’s Boy 1.60 6.5 12-1
5 5 Later Lover Boy 3.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Comegetsome 10.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Brilliant Baby 8.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 He’s a Shore Bet 8.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Done Wondering 10.00 11 21-1
2 2 Mingo Born 12.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hunter Rocks 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Suspect a Storm 4.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Dance Doctor 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Sea Treaty 4.50 7 13-1
7 7 Officer Griggs 2.50 7.2 14-1
1 1 Plumbago 5.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Sergios Limoncello 10.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bonsai Dancer 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Besomebodytoday 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Larch 4.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Painted Canyon 3.50 7.4 14-1
3 3 Rudius 4.50 7.5 14-1
6 6 Mr. Solo 3.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 York Road 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bossy Em 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Daaherachel 3.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Zella Rose 2.50 7.1 13-1
6 6 Tracy Racy 8.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Snapy Gal 5.00 9.5 18-1
7 7 Run With the Brave 4.50 10 19-1
1 1 Faye Runaway 12.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Staccato 0.60 4.6 9-1
6 6 Starward 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 My Macho Mon 5.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Shopenhare 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Auctioneer 6.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Gold Note 8.00 9 17-1
7 7 Classy Maxi 20.00 11.4 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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