July 4, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sir Orinoco | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Measured | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ekhtibaar | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southside Warrior | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Great Casby | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southeast | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Edict | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alibi Breakfast | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senor Seville | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leading Man | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Haz a Notion | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Junior Senator | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Crusader | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Watchmeneighneigh | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scaramucci | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Galerio | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stand My Ground | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Side Car | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Just One Not Two | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eje Gama | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Scorched by Fire | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maryland Badboy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirst for Quality | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Overpower | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Moonstruck | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Victory Given | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tricked Up | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miners Quest | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legend’s Hope | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Howyaformoney | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Somedreamscometrue | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Time Man | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Field Advantage | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Storm Net | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bank Float | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hayne’s Fever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moneymeister | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Apolodorodedamasco | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Army Grey | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Junction | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Proud Wildcat | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fifties Music | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swing Step | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Cerrato | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peak Performance | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apollo Landing | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shoot the Gap | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Witchy’s Laststand | 50.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gorbachov | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | John Jones | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Deep | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Templar | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Jack | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunnison | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papal Law | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phlash Phelps | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Fire Marshal | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gran City | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Mason Factor | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Easter Vigil | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Lion | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr McGinty | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quickhatch | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jeddo | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Trips | 20.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lights On | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mediterranean | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nightmare | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brenda’s G L P | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Doozy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Determined Mission | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Squibnocket | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Congrats Graduate | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Killmain | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flirtation Walk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | In Him With Him | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cross Multiply | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Nation | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iwishiwaspecial | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outvoted | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Games | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chocomount | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roman Warrior | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Doctor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.