July 4, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jamaican | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dexter | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curioso | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Fortune | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Star | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wolfpub | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Biff | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Venerate | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Translate Slowly | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capture the Crown | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yei Yei | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chattanooga Kid | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pricey Victory | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Duque | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Kisses | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Art’s Table | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Pachanga Party | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonwalker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hackleton | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trio of Champions | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | L’Americana (GB) | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monforte | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Benevolence | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oil Colony | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Willy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Risk | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rodeo Red | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forceful One | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nikki Bella | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Body High | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuesday’s Rose | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Addi Belle | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trappe Me Later | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Nailed It | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salsa Rita | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Areyoutalkingtome | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Kayden | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arpinella | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | False Accusation | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tide of the Desert | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shidoshi | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Old Boy | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mosca | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Schweets | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Waikiki | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat Cay | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitty Jak | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catalina R | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snow and Lillylynn | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crown Real | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Market Call | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Journey | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baffin Bay | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timmy M. | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vita Dolce | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Robintakincharge | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unionizer | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cause for Pardon | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Nifty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Miss Mariu | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Yansa | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rapid River | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Trini Pleasure | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Miss Lotus Flower | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Little Neck | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bourbon Trace | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alexbabe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Angel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Unrivaled Soul | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Stakes) – Richard Henry Lee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Second Mate | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salute the Colonel | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Nenuco | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marshall Eddy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad to the Core (FR) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whisky N Roses | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Somethinstappin | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Giant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Pinocchio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Polar Jet | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Tea | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Squeezadios | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Apollo | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glory of Florida | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First and Three | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colormepompom | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lennox | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | R Sea Smoke | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hurricane Lorn | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Patty Heaney | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Music City Wolf | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remarkable Silver | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gea | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strand de Oro | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dakota Beach | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Luckytohavemyvicki | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rae’sredrocket | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love Ranger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Emperor’s Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.