July 4, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Point Break Country | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Text Me Doc | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tm Louisiana Chick | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twobit Rock Star | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perry Train | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lto Cash N Bigtime | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ttt Double Dashing | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fantasys Riot | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tee Witch | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corona On the High | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Purdy Moma | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ainsleys Rocket | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sting Lika B | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piloto Shiner | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ubalon | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stormy Caliente | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Buds World | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Game On Vince | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Point Three | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Speedracer | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lorenzo T | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hezafastbaby | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Showed Ya | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shake Em Mudo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Bit Toasted | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Illusions Run N Wild | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dashin Chickee | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tf Seperatin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dazzle Cartel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hush Up and Kiss Me | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shakespeare | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bang Bang Hot | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Straight a Reeder | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovin a Rayne Knight | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nsm Ice Storm | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jnj Coronas Paint | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Bye You | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Texmex Jess Cartel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Enigma Make Shake Em | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ima Gone Reba | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gipson P | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Beau Jackson | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Ll Tee Boug | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Diamondinthefront | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Non Stop Patriot | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tk Ms Dashaway | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Lil Dashin Snow | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Debbie D | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Jess Runawaytogether | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Da Money Man | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tdz Sir Sash | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jla Getsum | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Fast Bunny | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strut for Petes Sake | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rf Miss Dashin Duck | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ho Lotta Pazzazz | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Currentlyleavingyou | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Streakin Cash | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pop Ivy | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rf Fast Dash N Blue | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | This Girls a Runaway | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Made Man | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Im Sporting Rock | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Range Rover | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Jess Cartel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ellepradas Jumbo Jet | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pamplonna | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goign Grand Perry | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shapeshifter | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jcm Dashn Fast | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peytons Last Dash | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love You Cartel | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ajs Corona Chick | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lrh Jet Black | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bullyonfire | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jrs Natural Runaway | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deisel Freight Train | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miraculous Miranda | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Da Pool Do | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seis Train B | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Can Dash Fast | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chicks Ivory House | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Th La Jolla Seis | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Legend Stone | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Em Jess Ronas Cash | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Budman | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apolitical Rose | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashin Maxx | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Freighttrain Reba | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Eye Opener | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Won Brave Heart | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Capitan de La Playa | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kool Volcom | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Hydro | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seis Or Six | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tm Candy Crusher | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tinys First Patriot | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bibbity Bobbity Blue | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Im a Lucky Corona | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Futurity) – Firecracker Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | A Painted Dynasty | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expedyte | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apolitical Xpression | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doc Hockaday | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Daddy Jewel | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Recognize | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovethewayyourun | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hes El Martillo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Kool It | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Game Jess | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Teller Im Quick | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Angry Bird B | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kingzridge | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Money Is On Me | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Knight Warrior | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Val | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jess an Ocean | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Js La Jolla | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rl Blue Tee | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tf Lil Corona Dash | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.