July 4, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pagliacci | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Like What I See | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heavy Meddle | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Corot | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Zap Daddy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mohican | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Poker Game | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Exult | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power Player | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malthael | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bad Boy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ownitifyouwantit | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asdaaf | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dillon Rocks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Muddy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 0.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maimo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Upstart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Untamed Domain | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bird’s Eye View | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Greek Alphabet | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Leitone (CHI) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lunaire | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Memories of Peter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 2 | Dr Post | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Extreme Force | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Another Miracle | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Green Light Go | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | This Ill Defend | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Harbour | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Night Code | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Blahnik | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shannon’s Girl | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghosting | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jasminesque | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G. T. Sonia | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bellamy Knows | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ask Siri | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Her Way | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Controllingthegold | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adhafera | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | National Honor | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | News Anchor | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | New Jersey John | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Bet | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Massena | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Market Bubble | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Hermano | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Opt | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Riendo | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Playwright | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Manila S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Pole Setter | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fog of War | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Win Win Win | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pulsate | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Casa Creed | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ian Glass | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gentleman Joe | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Current | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peggy Sue | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose of Dublin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Meg | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vinda Machine | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crick | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love and Luck | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tannuzzo | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dontcallmefrancis | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.