July 3, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not Necessarily | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avante Light | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | To Be Or Not to Be | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Muraco | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Biletnikoff | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Templemore | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dorothy M | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mrmistakenidentity | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Got the Brahms | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy’s Quick Image | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Light Affair | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Pockets | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Editora | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Little Stormy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Baby | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavenly Hattie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Community Watch | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helotes | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turko Treat | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Will Munnings | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Off Duty | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polygram | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Here Comes Michael | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grosco (MEX) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sventastic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Good as Money | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tophat N Whitetie | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zaptuit | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barrel of Stout | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Donalddeeissoaring | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mead Avenue | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Diplomat | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Polished Steel | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Da Winner Is | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Bond | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wizard of Odds | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Is Everybody Happy | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | More Front | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Small Giant | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Return of a Giant | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Foldover | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bunster | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Code Name Raven | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Music | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Asset Allocation | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hills Pond | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scoreswhenhewants | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ole Mole | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3B | 1 | Social Stranger | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Charging Lion | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cause I’m Alex | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sir Douglas | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6B | 4 | Sir Alfred | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | General Paddy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | The Stifler | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ox Bro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Clearly Super | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.