July 3, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 3 | Tayler’s the Boss | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simona | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Jazzy J | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Midnitesalright | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Mazmania | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Zecha | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dazzling Speed | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Timely Tradition | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Hay Field | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Babe | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Graeme | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chorus Line | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jump for Joy | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Felix the Fox | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Third Edition | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overbold | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Channel Island | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Better Tapit | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Mast | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bridgetothefuture | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Dixie Twister | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hoponthebusgus | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pure Praise | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Rocks | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome Quick | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brexit Revenge | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dangerous Woman | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amanda Lane | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Puparee | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Talk You Out of It | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palace Avenger | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paterson | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Critical Decision | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Dixie Blue | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Peppina | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avuncular | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Positive Power | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Amaila | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Senor Jobim | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shamrocked | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Style | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smile Bryan | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Big Or Go Home | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ventus | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Force the Pass | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Therapist | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucullan | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maraud | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Noble Indy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Dude | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Harlan’s Harmony | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Multiplier | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Talent Scout | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Mach Four | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remstin | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quest for Fire | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call the Cat | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heyitsnricopalazo | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.