Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 1, 2019

July 1, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sum Overture 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Long Blade 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 2 Travy Boy 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Black Pepper 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 American River (VEN) 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Grand Jr 30.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Wildcat Saint 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Crimson Spade 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Venezuelan Warrior 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Free Flayme 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Warrior Spirit 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 4 Moochie Man 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Just Amazing 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Septemberten 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wheeler Forty Five 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rosepath 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Hurricane Roberta 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Aurora Princess 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Mayday Magic 4.50 4 7-1
4 4 Chasity 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Proud Legacy 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Rethinkme 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Beau Trace 0.80 1.4 3-1
7 6 El Playon 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Braver Then We Are 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Lawyer Drill 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Mysterio 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 3 Peace Accord 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Accountant Q 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sleeping Giant 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Zandar 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Giant’s Voice 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Hardened 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Day of Reckoning 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Sturgeon 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Who Cares 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Fuzzy Irish Rascal 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Everydaysaholiday 4.50 2 4-1
6 5 Hip Hip Jorge 1.60 2.7 5-1
7 6 Unpublished 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Gump 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Rich’s Rags 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Awesome Action 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Fritzen 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Majestic Maiara 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Taylor’s in Orbit 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Nikee Kan 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 All About Stella 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 My Sarasota Star 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 True Heiress 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Cory Gal 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Myrrh 12.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Yodel E. A. Who 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Scribe 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Followhisfootsteps 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Old Timer’s Day 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Hard Belle 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 R Mercedes Boy 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Flaget Braves 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She Fled the Scene 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Queen Brunette 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Strike My Fancy 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Noble Maria 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sweet Blossom 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Forever Marta 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Donnameup 30.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Bit Coin Queen 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Marynmike 30.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Too Much Minutia 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nan’s Plan 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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