July 1, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Snow Blossom | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Veil Dance | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happiness | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Single Mission | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cat Lak | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proper Manners | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Glory | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Queen | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tisdale | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Fleetfootmac | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Stand Guard | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Showmeister | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mambo At the Gym | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | To the Stars | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Swivel | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Butch Cassidy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Just Irish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Call Wil | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | One Lucky Step | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Epic Drama | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Silent Tale | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | King Gatto | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Street Shark | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Smart and Tough | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Any Sugar Honey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Blinding | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jagger Baby | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paz the Wine | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wappinger | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Toast to Kay | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icy Lady | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Nekia | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Cross | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Dolly | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bustin Hearts | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shanghai Bonnie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nellysford | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Had the Notion | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stetson Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Polarization | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reflected | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | The Real Lefty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Unbridled Escape | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Echale Salsita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Equus Novus | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meo Desperado | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Trap Music | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meetmeatthewire | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapitontheside | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arnina | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Troopingthecolor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Graphic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Pendrell Moon | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Lord | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Panama Papers | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pioneer Maker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Diplodocus | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Decadence | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Tazmonian Devil | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Sky Ace | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Bill’s Mafia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bay Hill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EASTER MAN | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | RB HOT DATE | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | ROYALLY BRED | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | BIG BEN AA | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | MADJIKMAN | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | UPTOWN CRUISEDIRECTOR | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.