Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 30, 2019

June 30, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Orbiting the Moon 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Go Amanda 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Stay Out 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Reigning Fire 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Love and Respect 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Fairy Wish 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Alluring Prospect 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kukulkan 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Rafter 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Zitarrosa 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Notionality 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Caneel Bay 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Dapper Mun 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Onarock 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Lucky Junior 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Willie the Whale 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rein Supreme 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 My Chesa Charm 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Gloria’s Gal 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Truly Hot 3.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Lonely Drifter 3.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Neyami 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Girl Drama 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Vanidosa 30.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Yes I Dance 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nakamura 1.60 3.5 7-1
6 6 Gearhead 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Runninginthevale 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Bay Bridge 4.50 5.7 11-1
9 9 Beltway Bob 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Hardredcandy 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Royal Crusader 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Posterity 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Chateau de Vizille 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Keeper 1.80 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sir Smarty 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Wise Men 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Air Lift 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Stormy Patriot 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Blazing Reed 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Junior Senator 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bet the Pot 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Taxable Goods 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Dashing Lou 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mokheef 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Back to Back 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Speed Game 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Yowza Yowza Yowza 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Tom Hagen 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Convivial 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 My Macho 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Abatement (GB) 12.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thatwouldbegrand 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sonic Boom E Jet 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Awesome Fu 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Puttheglassdown 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Awesome D J 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Crouchelli 15.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Makes Mo Cents 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Bugle Notes 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Showalter 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Threes Over Deuces 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Hall Pass 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Cerulean Springs 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Chargin Storm 6.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Shane’s Jewel 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lunar Rille 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 La Piu Bella 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Love’s Legend 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Firth 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Brushing 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Riproaring 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Carolina Ice 10.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Bella Pierina 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Moon Chant 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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