June 30, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Zabava | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamma Dee | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trixie’s Time | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Painted Image | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awe Honey | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sundrenched | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dearly Declared | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kerry’s Ring | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Running On Entry | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Rose | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Cod Diva | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Little Faith | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mickey Diamond | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Macho | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Professor Snape | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shareholder Value | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarf It Down | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dannie’s Deceiver | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trance | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Kit Kat Katie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Embur’s Zip | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Morality Clause | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fancy Persuasion | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Livin At the Beach | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Launch Sequence | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Apollo’s Abraxas | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yellen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Peppina | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Preston Court | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suremoney | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortune Smiles | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wisecrack | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neper | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ellas Ghost | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soup Baby | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ed’s Pet | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 4 | Cross Border | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Surge Pricing | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quarky | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mad Munnys | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clyde’s Runner | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gallant Bid | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cardiac Kitten | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tizanoxbow | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Style | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Much Trouble | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Saginaw S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Buff | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sea Foam | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twisted Tom | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Diddley | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dynamax Prime | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Lute | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mo Gee | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stock Trade | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Thomond Park | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honorable Hero | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Coral Legacy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Doodle Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Course Correction | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cause for Applause | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.