Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 30, 2019

June 30, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Galahad Kid 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Suzdal 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Saturdays Hangover 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Fern 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 High Hero 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Trumpified 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dark Ninja 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Bold Attack 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Tres Generaciones 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dust Bowl 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Tuff Attack 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Raging Sidecar 5.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Braden’s Position 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Blue Sky Kowboy 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Memory Bank 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Chief Oakie Dokie 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 River Cactus 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bulldog of Bergen 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Switheral 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Senor Blanco 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Trumpi 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Supermans Cape 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Jeff the Lion 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Delta Levy 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Two Pair 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Rio Seco 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 High On Sugar 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Summer Castle 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Suspenders 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shezahotmama 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 Odachi 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Cooper’s Keeper 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Sperling 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Kingsbury Dream 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Peppermint Ice 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Uknowiaintlying 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Elusive Force 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Majestic Hero 5.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Andreas 2.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Next Monday 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Yourdecisionotmine 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 7 Patch’s Lugh 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Donivan My Boy 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Angelino 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Portico 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 In the Chamber 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 All Call 5.00 4 8-1
10 7 McHenry 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 6 Moonlight Mischief 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Antrim’s Giant 12.00 5 9-1
5 4 Golden Gift 6.00 5 9-1
3 2 Rock n’ Candy 5.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Shakurr 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Fleetway 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Miracle Mountain 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Big Dinner 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Knockyourblockoff 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Blue Steel 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Intonation 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Harlanday 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Warriors Gem 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Prince Abubu 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Mighty Ghost 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Just Run 6.00 6.1 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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