June 29, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Appolitical Black | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apolitical Mess | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Nother Zoobilee | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fabulously Black | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pycs Crock of Cash | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tempting Goinbye | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sixes Flash | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knick of Time | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Battmann | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black and Blue Jet | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Geaux Dashin Bye | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Look to Monte Cristo | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dashing With Courage | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dwaynes First Perry | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First in My Class | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freakin Patriot Dash | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agoutis Snowplow | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tm Dees Shine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prize Dasher | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Black Design | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kc Awinner Dont Quit | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jj Will U B Mine | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Openup the Bar | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shut Up and Fish | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dash by Junior | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hosmer | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jls Hezjustfast | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Southern Prize | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Wordly Dash | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Amour | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dash N Cuervo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girls Gone Rogue | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Show Time Game | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vodka Makes Me Rowdy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | T Runaway Spirit | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blj Eye Gotta Secret | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Landrys Reign | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cuervo Prized Doll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Struttin First | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Airbrush | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fk Highest Flyer | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Escandalo | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fk Jettaway John | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pollitical Diva | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jess Rock N Rogue | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Love to Boogie | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perry Mouse Tale | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rh Shake Em Dreams | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Merica | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adored Runaway | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McKinleys Grace | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeryls Fast | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smarty Black | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess for Rogue | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jess for Carol Ann | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Geaux Jo Go | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rd Your Personal Jet | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess a Cajun | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tf Jessies Corona | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes a Cartel | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tf Eyesa Struttin | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Girl With Curls | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Coronalene | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jumpn Like Jordan | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Blues Dreams | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salt Train Coming | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let Her Leave | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tf Sheza Jumpn Chic | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lega Sea | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripoleon | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arnez | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broken Hearted | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Modelito Cartel | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tempting Money | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tempting Boss Aw | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Ocean Breeze | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Really a Doll | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malachi de Golfrey | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr Sixy Piloto | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jp Brimm Carrel | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Bar Fast | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jrs Sir Pop a Top | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brileys Prize | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tahur | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yall Its a Train | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Black Hunter | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Big City | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mia Favoritta | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southside Girl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Little Game | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Foose Chick | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Timing Mann | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vf Ought to Go Rogue | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coronastripleking | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess a Runaway Blaze | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zimas Dynasty | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tlc Sinner | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir Runaway Eye | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Perry | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A True Patriot | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maggies Runaway | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rh Jess Momo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly the Eagle | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoom N Dynasty | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Predator | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feature the Pipes | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | L a Sugar Shack | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana G Eye | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bg Patriot | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tf La Patrona | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Mos Runaway | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pollitically Correct | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Hot Topic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brays French Toast | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shes a Fast Blue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tg Coronas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.