June 29, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chainmail | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Me Ousside | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Beauty | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twilight Warrior | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margarita Attack | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Alexandra | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romantic Attack | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wazz Dat | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Point Streak | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Burning Question (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Lady | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neuqua | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Constancia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mistletoe Miss | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Checotah | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aviating | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rosie Bear | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Gangsta Girl | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kenai Cool | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Foo Foo Girl | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eliz’s Hope | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tay Town | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | R Marie | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thirsty Cowgirl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hero of Gold | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Locash | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’code’m | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | My Little Spitfire | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stormy Bray | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Grace | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Ghaaleb’s Appeal | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Meeka | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Jersey | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Regal Serenade | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shamelessfi | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Feisty Chi Chi | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rake It Up | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharing a Laugh | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Risky Risky Risky | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Embarrassing | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Something Kinky | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strollin the Bayou | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drinks On Me | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chlobee | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Little Kitten | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mind for Mischief | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Ruler | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lillet | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nurse Sadie | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bonita Bay | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tizaladybug | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady C | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Super Wonder Girl | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Field Daisey | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Attack | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Di | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quality too Spare | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Artie’s Rumor | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Birdsnest Party | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Executive Bonus | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storminside | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sakonnet | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailing Solo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Letthebigshot Roll | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Senor Blanco | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Blitz | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlins Vow | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Travel West | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Farat | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hannity | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Chicago H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hotshot Anna | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Excessivespending | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Student Body | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Always Believe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Mertie | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Annathela | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Hill | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Babybluesbdancing | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Irma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Pistol Box | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Round Hill | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volgograd | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Roar of the Lion | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dragunov | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Betwithbothhands | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jimmy D | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Speared | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sacred Legacy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Fred | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Good Intent | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Workingforaliving | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | All Strikes | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Maxus | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.