June 21, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River God | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Image | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Gate | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking Refuge | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mercy Rule | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oil Can Knight | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lincoln City | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifteen to Vegas | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greyhammer | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Takes a Village | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unchain Her Heart | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nocherylikemychery | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Moon | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Royal Ace | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fran’s Empire | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vegan | 3.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Circleofcolor | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Loaded Joe | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Bye Putin | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jamming Eddy | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peedie | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cafe Clara | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Etterbay Ucklay | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | General Mo | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Parking Here | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Feeling Strong | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Can Do This | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Man | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tribal Roar | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Come Home | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy’s C Note | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eric the Trojan | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morgan S. | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make It a Triple | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eskimo Roses | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | North County Guy | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Very Very Stella | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Born | 4.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Rule of King’s | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Heights | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Reedley | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Babael | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Call You Tomorrow | 2.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R B Eye | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fait Accompli | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cross Town | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nolde | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Of Good Report | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tikkun Olam | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contagion | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Order and Law | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Down (IRE) | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Urban Light (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Vander Kelen | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Trump | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Italiano | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Concur | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bouncing Around | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forestation | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea’s Journey | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aced | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Stepper | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laker Jet | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Necklace | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlotte Louise | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sidepocket Charger | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Smile | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Springster | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morgan’s Humor | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Omnipotent | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.