June 21, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Incredible Miss | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose of Dublin | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Know Point Given | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ask Contrition | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Adhafera | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Plimsoll Anny | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Pleasantly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Kuduro | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cucina | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turbo Drive | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hai Bobbi | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doc Boy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shandian | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | It’s Kite Pazible | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Percentage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Steam Engine | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | New York Hero | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mystical Song | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Foolish Ghost | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kadens Courage | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sams Last Ghasp | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Cause for Applause | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bydawnsearlylight | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Constant Knight | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canarsie Kid | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Market Bubble | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Papa Shot | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Zeus | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Lincoln | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Pass | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | D T Goodie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bitumen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ragtime Suzy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Solitary Gem | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Tappanzee | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Needs No Ice | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Architect | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Roses From Ben | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kickin Kimberly | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Appreciate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mamma Dee | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2 | Fortin Hill | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Morning Breez | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark N Cloudy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Il Primo Sole (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mutakatif (IRE) | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Banana Thief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lonhtwist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shiraz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Discretionary Marq | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Colonel Tom | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | All Systems Go | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Montauk Daddy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tuggle | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Kokokomo | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chimney Rock | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cloudbased | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Apollo’s Abraxas | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Invader | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Now Is | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Everybody Loves Me | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Slimey | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Brooke Marie | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Miss Mystique | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Out of Trouble | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13A | 7 | No Deal | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 2 | Out of Orbit | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tide Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Cache | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Catch a Thrill | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Princess Peggy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Golconda (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Helen’s Tiger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Odie | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pickle Rick | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Wishbone | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Make Munny Moves | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smidge | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indigestion | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ummu Ummu Ummu | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Honor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.