June 21, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Barnyard Fiddler | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Roarin Missile | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Sunny’s Rainbow | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Smokey Row Mac | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Vbreeze | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Legendary Larry | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Maria’s Moment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Bold Esther | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Amazing Annie | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Saint Alexius | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Hat Tip | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
8 | 6 | Ragatagtag | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Thea Bee | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Buywon Getwon | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Treasure in Heaven | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Speed Devil | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Of Note | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 2 | Tasseography | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Crusader Girl Too | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Gwendalyn Sue | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Dutch Treat | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Warrior’s Way | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Full Count | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ginger Snap Dance | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Token Vow | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Glamala | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
11 | 11 | Helen Hayes | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Rocket Queen | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Chrome Attack | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
10 | 10 | Karate Hottie | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
7 | 7 | Logi | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
13 | 13 | Fortressa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Royalty Princess | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
12 | 11 | Shez a Queenie | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
8 | 8 | Annie Time Girl | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Copper Mountain | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Unbridled Ruler | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | My Golden Diablo | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Bold Attack | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Stand With Honor | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Suprise Cat | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Carrymeon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Mister Charming | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Rich Tradition | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 9 | Orbert | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
11 | 11 | Off to the Beach | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Peppermint Crunch | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
12 | 12 | Foggy Albion | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
14 | 14 | Mummy Troll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Imperial Express | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Don Curlione | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | First Masamune | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | McLance | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | The Kahn | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Ice Machine | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
10 | 10 | Borodino | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
2 | 2 | Captain Carnegie | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Lemon Gal | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Lavina | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Summer Blossom | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | My Jilly | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Chainmail | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Sister Alexa | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Russian Mafia | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Cholla | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Cooler Schedule | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Tommytoshort | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Alex’s Strike | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
11 | 11 | Impressed | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Cantrell Hill | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | W W Kan Do | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bookie’s Blues | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hurricane Highway | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Creme de Cerise | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Kissedthegirls | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Prince Zar | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Imperial Temple | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.