June 16, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Wile E Peyote | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Thomas | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Archiemyboy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Richiesgotswagger | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bulldog of Bergen | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Go Oshie Go | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Elusive Force | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greeleys Ice | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Position | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Codetowin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drama Star | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Might | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fern | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Temple Zip | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant Street | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hero of Fire | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Haney | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stealthy Traveler | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landing Gear | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hide the Evidence | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trumpified | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Runningfromthefeds | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Purely Boy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arrival | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Or Frippery | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Antrim’s Giant | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baroque | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rio Seco | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hero Tiger | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cast Iron | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hawk’s Image | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Dancer | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Citali | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr D’s Way | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Side Pocket | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Croce d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romeo O Romeo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zanforce | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Nuclear Option | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gorgeous George | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Driven by History | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tringale | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | What’s Up Dude | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malraux | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Student Body Left | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Izzy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Wrightaway | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | U R My Sunshine | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tomasita | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Beauty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | American Biz | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twilight Warrior | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Valid Storm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Northern Fire | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dust Bowl | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tuff Attack | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gusano | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | He’s Thunder | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glen’s My Friend | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | El Payaso | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.