June 15, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Papa Turf | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tiz Love | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Shanty | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boy Howdy | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 1.80 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finallygotabentley | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Street Fighter | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inscom | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hardboot | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Troutman | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kenjisstorm | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Push Through | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Erotic | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trojan Spirit | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beat the Heat | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Time for Suzzie | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Portal Creek | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bams Lil River | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All Tea All Shade | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suprema | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fredrikstad | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Plot | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger On Your Six | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Ryan | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Seam | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Claim of Passion | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Give Me the Lute | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Shilo | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Funusual | 12.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | L’Engineer | 50.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alfonso C | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Route Six Six | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Draft Pick | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | For the Top (ARG) | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Abner | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Huerfano | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Nice Ice | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Smoovie | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peter’s Kitten | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Lubie | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Walk in the Park | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mongolian Window | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonless Sky | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charmingslew | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Point Hope (IRE) | 4.50 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thousand Oaks (FR) | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Querelle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Thalia | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Mo Dinero | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Polity | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Senditlikechilly | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kidmon | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rmanie’s Grey Suit | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sergio | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Surfside Sunset | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Satori | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mason Dixon | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sir Eddie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Thor’s Echo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Smokey Image | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Desert Law | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smiling Angelo | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tap the Wire | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coil Me Home | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fire When Ready | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prodigal Son | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Darpa | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunriser | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Field Bet | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Truffles | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boldest Vow | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | So Much Happy | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dulverton Darling | 3.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Calentita (IRE) | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fuega | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hilltop Harmony | 20.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Midnight | 30.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decorated for Gold | 20.00 | 15.6 | 30-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever One | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.