Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 15, 2019

June 15, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Papa Turf 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Tiz Love 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Big Shanty 2.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Boy Howdy 5.00 8.3 16-1
6 5 Baby Bear’s Soup 1.80 9.1 17-1
1 1 Finallygotabentley 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 The Street Fighter 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Inscom 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Hardboot 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Dr. Troutman 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Kenjisstorm 2.50 6.7 13-1
9 9 Push Through 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Erotic 6.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Trojan Spirit 8.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Beat the Heat 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Time for Suzzie 2.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Portal Creek 1.40 5.2 10-1
1 1 Bam Bams Lil River 1.80 5.5 10-1
5 4 All Tea All Shade 5.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Suprema 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fredrikstad 2.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Twisted Plot 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Tiger On Your Six 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Master Ryan 3.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Hit the Seam 3.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Claim of Passion 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Give Me the Lute 5.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Ultimate Shilo 50.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Funusual 12.00 11.9 23-1
4 4 L’Engineer 50.00 14.6 28-1
11 11 Alfonso C 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Route Six Six 3.50 4 7-1
5 4 Draft Pick 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 3 For the Top (ARG) 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 King Abner 2.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 El Huerfano 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Nice Ice 6.00 5.5 10-1
11 9 Smoovie 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Peter’s Kitten 3.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Aunt Lubie 10.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 A Walk in the Park 8.00 8.3 16-1
10 8 Mongolian Window 15.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Moonless Sky 12.00 9 17-1
5 5 Charmingslew 15.00 9.3 17-1
8 7 Point Hope (IRE) 4.50 12.5 24-1
6 6 Thousand Oaks (FR) 20.00 13.5 26-1
7 7 Querelle 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Thalia 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Mo Dinero 3.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Polity 4.00 5.2 10-1
10 8 Senditlikechilly 3.50 5.6 11-1
4 3 Kidmon 4.00 6 11-1
6 5 Rmanie’s Grey Suit 30.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Sergio 15.00 9.5 18-1
5 4 Surfside Sunset 12.00 9.9 19-1
3 2 Satori 12.00 10.6 20-1
2 2 Mason Dixon 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sir Eddie 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Thor’s Echo H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Smokey Image 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Desert Law 1.80 4 8-1
4 3 Smiling Angelo 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Tap the Wire 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Coil Me Home 2.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Fire When Ready 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Prodigal Son 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Darpa 3.50 6.4 12-1
9 9 Sunriser 4.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Field Bet 4.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Shanghai Truffles 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Boldest Vow 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 So Much Happy 12.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Dulverton Darling 3.00 10.7 20-1
12 12 Calentita (IRE) 15.00 11.5 22-1
13 13 Fuega 20.00 11.5 22-1
7 7 Hilltop Harmony 20.00 15.2 29-1
3 3 Mongolian Midnight 30.00 15.4 29-1
5 5 Decorated for Gold 20.00 15.6 30-1
2 2 Clever One 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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