June 14, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He Is Rhuthless | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Curby | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ferlin Husky | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Ike | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savie | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Fight | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | You Split Tens | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | House of Cortez | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Readthecliffnotes | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lero Lero | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackfruit | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Betwithbothhands | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yourdecisionotmine | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chipollino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kipper Doodle | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moreta | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acrobatic Ally | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Her Wild Lifestyle | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Away She Glows | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hal’s Mischief | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wayaway | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tam | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Funny Questions | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not Chopped Liver | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Proud | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curzon Street | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rich E Z | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timingiseverything | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fort Commander | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Santa Americana | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Touch of Disney | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spectacular Road | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Examiner | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Mystery | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ed’s Rocket | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Point | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Steel | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Friends | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Side Pocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Ghost | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Asongforyou | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Blue Note | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caleb’s Heir | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strike Quiet | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crankshaft | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Iker | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Go Oshie Go | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Here Comes Kyle | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Desani’s Chance | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temple Zip | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silent Fame | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Last Spring | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sea of Makebelieve | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Marvelous Sky | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | J Z’s Last Try | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lucky Benny | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tims Hope | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blackhawk Warrior | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | High Hero | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Party On Dude | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prudent Hero | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Jets a Ginnin | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fort Marsh | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ambassador Luna | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Back Page Star | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trace | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Esther | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Full Count | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Meadow | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hammered | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Token Vow | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Je Suis Belle | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tasseography | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Brezing | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.