Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 14, 2019

June 14, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 He Is Rhuthless 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 My Curby 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Ferlin Husky 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Little Ike 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Savie 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Ready to Fight 4.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 You Split Tens 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 House of Cortez 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Readthecliffnotes 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Lero Lero 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jackfruit 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Betwithbothhands 2.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Yourdecisionotmine 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Chipollino 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kipper Doodle 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Moreta 3.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Acrobatic Ally 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Her Wild Lifestyle 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Away She Glows 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hal’s Mischief 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Wayaway 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Tam 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Funny Questions 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Not Chopped Liver 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Irish Proud 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Curzon Street 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Rich E Z 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Timingiseverything 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Fort Commander 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Santa Americana 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Touch of Disney 15.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Spectacular Road 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Examiner 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Magical Mystery 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Ed’s Rocket 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Shanghai Point 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Blue Steel 2.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Bold Friends 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Side Pocket 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mighty Ghost 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Asongforyou 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Midnight Blue Note 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Caleb’s Heir 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Strike Quiet 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Crankshaft 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 7 Iker 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Go Oshie Go 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Here Comes Kyle 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Desani’s Chance 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Temple Zip 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silent Fame 1.80 2.7 5-1
11 10 Last Spring 5.00 3 6-1
7 6 Sea of Makebelieve 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Marvelous Sky 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 J Z’s Last Try 8.00 5.8 11-1
12 11 Lucky Benny 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Tims Hope 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Blackhawk Warrior 15.00 SCRATCH
10 9 High Hero 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Party On Dude 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Prudent Hero 30.00 8.5 16-1
5 4 Bartbaalu 30.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Jets a Ginnin 5.00 3.1 6-1
13 13 Fort Marsh 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Ambassador Luna 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Back Page Star 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Trace 6.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Bold Esther 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Full Count 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Flat Meadow 3.50 6.9 13-1
10 10 Hammered 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Token Vow 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Je Suis Belle 6.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Tasseography 15.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Belle Brezing 12.00 9.3 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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