Site icon Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 7, 2019

June 7, 2019 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Josie 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Song River 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Pranked 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 La Rosa Drive 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Magic Dance 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 Milli Starr 4.50 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grandgran 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Colombard 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 He’s No Bull 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Felipe 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Charles T 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Moscow Minister 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Off Sixes 3.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stave 1.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sultry 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 American Frolic 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Valentine Wish 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Special Relativity 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Miss Altamira 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Cascanueces 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Way too Wicked 2.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Who’syourfavorite 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Run This Town 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Alex’s Heights 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mr Zydeco 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Moose Got Even 6.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Wise to Listen 8.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Spect No Mercy 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Fayetteville 15.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hitters Park 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mister Maestro 3.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Kid Perfect 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Clouded Judgement 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Souperfast 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Chief Hosa 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Big Rock 6.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Midwest Justice 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Johnny Obvious 3.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Astro Empire 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Summerduck 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Because It’s Time 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Garey Park 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sparkys Surprise 3.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Justenufftuff 4.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Jingle Me This 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Utmost Intensity 50.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mizzen Air 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Grace’s Drama 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Sugar Cube 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dancing Waves (IRE) 5.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Babaknowsevrything 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Evening Tide 4.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sun Dress 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Secret Trick 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Katie the Cutie 10.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fooch 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Vogt 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cohete Rojo 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Chaps 8.00 4.8 9-1
13 13 Seven Nation Army 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Stage Left 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Clear to Here 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Hargus 8.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Time On Target 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Just Might 8.00 7 13-1
10 10 Honus 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stormin El Prado 30.00 10.5 20-1
9 9 Sekondi 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Lillet 3.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Bling Springsteen 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Marie’s Mandate 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Passion’s Image 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Promised Fame 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Girl On a Mission 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Touch Blue 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Sugar Streak 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Northern Heart 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Hassle 30.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Betty’s Trinity 15.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Don’t Dally 30.00 10.1 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version