June 7, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Little Baltar | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vbreeze | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flyingbyu | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Ike | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greenhorn | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bajan Rhythm | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dashing Derek | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Point Streak | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Viola Marie | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Konza Khrome | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Checotah | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Odachi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Aviating | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosie Bear | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | He Is Rhuthless | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Oh So Tall | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Charge Card | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kinsella | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Buck Snort | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kielbasa | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Match Play | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Your Race | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broad Blue Line | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Way Home | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Homer | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magician’s Bags | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Letthebigshot Roll | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Mischief | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McHenry | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Golden Gift | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Orcus | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rock n’ Candy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Dinner | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suspenders | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Helen Hayes | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Superstar Diva | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prado’s Encore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | My Jilly | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Samis Car | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Paulette | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Shez a Queenie | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hero Alexandra | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Peace Love Bread | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Shes Just Capital | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vincitore | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | All Around | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Ioya Again | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lero Lero | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Honest to Goodness | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Americandy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Blitz | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Behind Enemy Lines | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Jules | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Looktheotherway | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Hey | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Wishes | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Running Vicky | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Almafuerte | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Constancia | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky At Justice | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Social Icon | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.